Historical Complexity, Dynamics, and Partial Causalities

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Historical Complexity, Dynamics and Partial Causalities - Inviteurs: David Chavalarias - Paul Bourgine - http://www.iscpif.fr/contact-us - Google drive

List of 5 Publications

  • It is difficult to express work in complexity and dynamics because there is an iterative and collaborative process in each advance. The publications listed illustrate my work on (1:1992) World System Trade-Network Dynamics (2:2005a) Global Inter-Organizational Collaborative Networks (3:2005b) Network Complexity in Multigenerational Social Organization (4:2009) Complexities in Historical Dynamics (5:2014) Oscillatory Historical City System Dynamics. In two cases it is important to recognize that the work builds on previous collaborative publications or is extended by other authors (e.g., John Padget's building on my 2005b and 1997 network methodologies in SFI working group collaborations). Our 2014 SFI working group results on Bayesian "Learning graphs" as an expression of partial causalities is not yet published.
  • These publications are at my Tp list Topical_publications:_Douglas_R._White: http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/index.php/Topical_publications:_Douglas_R._White#White_et_al._papers
  1. 1992 Tp46 David Smith & Douglas R. White. Structure and Dynamics of the Global Economy: Network Analysis of International Trade 1965-1980. Social Forces 70(4):857-894. http://eclectic.ss.uci.edu/~drwhite/pw/GlobalEcon1992.pdf (1988 Interview: Large-Scale Network of World Economy: Social scientists use the CRAY. Science at the San Diego Supercomputer Center 1987: 27-28. http://eclectic.ss.uci.edu/~drwhite/WorldTrade/Cray.pdf
  2. 2005a Tp38 Walter W. Powell, Douglas R. White, Kenneth W. Koput & Jason Owen-Smith. http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/pdf/Powell_White_etal_network_dynamics.pdf Network Dynamics and Field Evolution: The Growth of Interorganizational Collaboration in the Life Sciences; http://ucpjournals.uchicago.edu/AJS/journal/contents/v110n4.html American Journal of Sociology] 110(4):901-975. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1086/421508 AJS enhanced text and PDF. Voted Viviana Zelizer Best Paper in Economic Sociology Award (2005-2006), American Sociological Association http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/421508 See also http://www.santafe.edu/research/working-papers/abstract/be830f67e0e83fe553ec886108dbe7af
  3. 2005b Tp100 Douglas R. White & Ulla Johansen. Chapter 1: Introduction: Networks, Ethnography and Emergence (Subject: Network Complexity). Pp 1-60, In, Network Analysis and Ethnographic Problems: Process Models of a Turkish Nomad Clan. Boston: Lexington Press. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_Analysis_and_Ethnographic_Problems : book summary. Builds on methodology of 1997 Tp60 Lilyan A. Brudner & Douglas R. White. http://eclectic.ss.uci.edu/~drwhite/T&S/BrudnerWhite1997Convert.pdf Class, Property and Structural Endogamy: Visualizing Networked Histories. http://www.springerlink.com/content/n551750q42747757 Theory and Society 25(2):161-208. http://repositories.cdlib.org/postprints/3/ Reprinted http://www.springerlink.com/content/103005/?k=Brudner 2014 in "Applications of Social Network Analysis," edited by Peter J. Carrington (U. Waterloo, Canada), SAGE Publications.
  4. 2009 Tp60 Douglas R. White. Dynamics of Human Behavior (Cohesion and Resistance). Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. SFI Working paper 08-09-042 - early draft pdf - preprint: Dynamics of human behavior MBS 2008 - http://www.springer.com/physics/complexity/book/978-0-387-75888-6?changeHeader=&otherVersion=978-0-387-69572-3. The book Cohesion by Robert Hercock cites White 2008 after discussing simulations of historical dynamics as "A much deeper technical analysis that utilizes computer modeling to study the network dynamics of human history..." and on p211 "A deep, but rather technical reference that covers the detail of human social cohesion from a mathematical and network perspective is also provided in his paper, 'Dynamics of Human Behavior', SFI research paper, 2008-09-042." This and previous work such as Tp60 is the basis of collaborative work with Padgett, John. 2010. Open Elite? Social Mobility, Marriage, and Family in Florence, 1282-1494. Renaissance Quarterly 63: 357-411 (Network construction and modeling for cohesive blocking by Douglas R. White, project for the Co-Evolution of States and Markets SFI Working Group, led by Padgett and Powell, 1999-2001. https://webshare.uchicago.edu/users/jpadgett/Public/papers/published/Open.Elite.RQ.appendix.pdf Appendix).
  5. 2014 Tp58 (in press) Douglas R. White and Laurent Tambayong. City system vulnerability and resilience: oscillatory dynamics of urban hierarchies. Chapter 10, in, Vijay Mago and Vahid Dabbaghian, Eds., Modelling and Simulation of Complex Social Systems. http://www.wikicfp.com/cfp/servlet/event.showcfp?eventid=20952 Intelligent Systems Reference Library - Call for papers]. http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/pdf/316833_10_ChapAnnot.pdf Builds on 2008 Douglas R. White, Laurent Tambayong, and Nataša Kejžar. Oscillatory dynamics of city-size distributions in world historical systems. Chapter 9, In, George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas and W. Thompson, eds. http://www.amazon.com/Globalization-Evolutionary-Process-Rethinking-Globalizations/dp/041577361X/ref=ed_oe_p Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Modeling Global Change (Rethinking Globalizations). pp. 190-225. London: Routledge. http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/pw/ModelskiCh9WTK.pdf

References

Spolaore, Enrico, Romain Wacziarg. (2013). How Deep Are the Roots of Economic Development?. Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 51, no 2.

Padgett, John. 2010. Open Elite? Social Mobility, Marriage, and Family in Florence, 1282-1494. Renaissance Quarterly 63: 357-411 (Network construction and modeling for cohesive blocking by Douglas R. White, project for the Co-Evolution of States and Markets Working Group, Padgett and Powell, 1999-2001. Appendix).


Lane, David, D.Pumain, S. van der Leeuw and G.West (eds). 2009. Complexity Perspectives in Innovation and Social Change. Berlin: Springer (Methodos series).

Projet de recherche, sous le format pdf

Entre 5 et 10 feuillets / maximum 4000 mots,

En quoi votre séjour à l'IEA de Paris est-il important pour votre projet ? Résultats attendus

Following my various tenures (1991-2010) as an invited Visiting EHESS DEA/MSH researcher in 1991-1993 (academic year, then summers), Visiting Researcher as LASMAS (Laboratoire d'Analyse Secondaire et des Méthodes Appliquées à la Sociologie. Paris, 1991-93), visiting DEA at the Laboratoire de Demographie Historique, EHESS, s a member of the SFI external faculty in complexity and network sciences, I was recruited (a to become a member of the Programme Committee, European Complexity Science Conference, 2006, speaker in ECCS'06:Networks, Professor in the first French Complex Systems Summer School, Paris, 2007, organized by the Complex Systems Institute Paris Ile de France (ICS-PIF), coordinated by the Reseau national des systemes complexes (RNSC), I was recruited into the France Complex Systems National Network (CSNN) 2006-2010, member of the Scientific Council, French National Network of Complex Systems 2007-2008, and participant in the Said Business School ECCS conference, September 2007, University of Oxford.

In the years that followed, my research in historical and ethnographic complexity, dynamics and causalities at the University of California and the SFI ran in parallel to researchers in the Institut des Systèmes Complexes Paris Île-de-France (ISC-PIF http://www.iscpif.fr /http://www.iscpif.fr/contact-us). There are benefits in both directions from renewal of collaborations with ICS-PIF Director David Chavalarias, previous Director Paul Bourgine, faculty and PhDs participating in the ISC conferences, Institute meetings and the Distal Conference are essential to the study of historical complexity, dynamics and causalities using methodologies developing in the last ten years.

I contribute original approaches to Historical complexity through collaborations with Peter Turchin that stem from continuation of our SFI and other research groups for which we now have funding through the Evolution Institute in New York and NSF Proposal 2013 NSF INSPIRE funding to extend Turchin's world database of economic history data (collaborations with myself as statistical methodologist; Enrico Spolaore, Romain Wacziarg

"As I delve into these issues, the more I doubt the standard anthropological/historical economic scenarios that have unidirectional causal arrows going from resources => population density => social complexity. With our database we will be able to test feedback loops from social complexity => resources + population density." -- Peter

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Letter of Cooperation

See http://paris-iea.fr/en/call-applications-2015-2016 Through I would complete the proposal this Sunday for the academic year Oct 2015-June 2016 and believe I would be housed with Lilyan at Maison Suger. The application: "To be attested by a letter of cooperation with a French university, preferably one of the IEA’s partners (Universités Paris 1, 3, 4, 6, 7 and 10, EHESS, EPHE, ENS Cachan, ENS Paris, FMSH). See: http://paris-iea.fr/en (information@paris-iea.fr - http://paris-iea.fr/node/2049 for information: gmail)

Would you be able to write the letter of attestation for a project that would involve

"Historical Complexity, Dynamics and Partial Causality"

Historical Complexity     Dynamics                  Partial Causality
Bourgine-Chavalarias      François Héran            Douglas White
(ICSP Complexity)         (Demographic networks)    Santa Fe Institute 
John Padgett              Peter Turchin             (SDSC Supercomputing research team)
(Florentine project)      (Cliodynamics datasets and analysis)

Other L'IMeR researchers can be brought in

and include an annual working group with principals at SFI late 2014, two others in late 2015, 2016 using teleconferencing SFI/Paris with the Parisian participants.

I would stay beyond June 2016 to report on the project in your Complex Systems conference

I'm staying at Hotel chatillon 01 45 42 31 17 chambre 23 please call or give me a time to call you at 01 45 52 61 89 or elsewhere

All the best, Doug

Background to IEA

IEA http://paris-iea.fr/?nocache=1 recent publications

Info about L'Hotel de Lauzun, Paris l'île Saint-Louis à Paris

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